PREAMBLE
A couple themes/assumptions that I made:
- Sox are changing their ways but won’t when it comes to signing long term pitching contracts. Plus, assuming Bauer will not end up taking a one-year deal.
- We have the core locked down for next couple years. Any long-term major contracts will be saved for that core. So, RF will have to be a short-term thing. Can still be higher ACV but not long term so we have $$ when the core needs to be extended.
- I’m unclear if they believe Collins can handle backup backstop duties. For this I left him in – I know he’s close with Grandal.
- Any move that has the secondary advantage of pissing off the Cubs and their “fandom” is good! I know we are now the better team and we shouldn’t worry about them but that is one “old school” thing that won’t go away.
- When told they needed a LH bat, Ozzie Guillen’s response was “get more pitching”. This OPP gives us a ton of pitching. Counting on good new manager to keep everyone happy. If Cease, Bummer, Kopech, Lopez all perform – I wasted some short-term money. A problem of prosperity as they say.
- I extended Giolito & Vaughn. Only leaves Madrigal. “Two-Strike” Nick is my favorite player on the Sox (and therefore in the MLB) & he should be our 2B for decade or more. What Harry Chappas should have been. That said, I think with his game & lack of power he is not a guy that will get huge ARB #s so you can wait on him.
ARBITRATION-ELIGIBLE PLAYERS
- Nomar Mazara:$5.6M | $5.9M | $5.7M NON-TENDER
- Carlos Rodón:$4.5M | $4.5M | $4.5M NON-TENDER
- Lucas Giolito:$2.5M | $5.3M | $2.5 EXTEND
- 5 yrs/$66m w/2 club options of $ 22m; so could be 7/$110m
- Years are:
- 2021 - $ 6m
- 2022 - $ 9m
- 2023 - $ 14m
- 2024 - $ 18m
- 2025 - $ 19m
- Reynaldo López: $1.7M | $2.2M | $1.7M TENDER/$ 1.7m
- Evan Marshall:$1.3M | $1.9M | $1.4M TENDER/$ 1.4m
- Adam Engel:$1M | $1.4M | $1M TENDER/$ 1m
- Jace Fry:$800K | $1M | $800K TENDER/$800k Trading him
- Yolmer Sánchez:Uncertain NON-TENDER/Can’t play SS
- I’m also extending Andrew Vaughn 6/$ 39m. 2021 salary is $ 1m. Window is open – need everyone from Day 1.
CLUB OPTIONS
- Edwin Encarnación:$12M DECLINE/No explanation needed
- Gio González:$7M ($500K buyout) DECLINE/Let’s try another option
- Leury García:$3.5M ($250K buyout) DECLINE/Fits well but too much money
OTHER IMPENDING FREE AGENTS
- Alex Colomé (Made $10,532,500 in 2020)
- Let go/when relievers go down it’s a steep decline + we have arms in pen
- James McCann(Made $5.4M in 2020)
- Let go/I’m not as upset as the rest of Sox twitter about this
- Jarrod Dyson(Made $2M in 2020)
- Let go
COACHING STAFF
- Manager: Joe Estrada
- In the end, I think the Sox favor the less baggage option. There’s always the “Cubs didn’t hire him” storyline when he turns out to be a great manager.
- Pitching coach: Matt Zaleski
- Pitching coaches have been moving up quickly so this is logical progression plus he can build on the successes we’ve had.
FREE AGENTS
- Kevin Gausman – 3 year/$ 30million. Good K rate. Good ground ball rate. Affordable in terms of won’t want 5 years. Has bullpen experience.
- Jackie Bradley Jr. – 1 year/$13million with option for 2022 $ 13 million. He’ll want a raise but market will be soft for 2nd tier players. Great fielder. Left- handed bat. Issue: I think Boras is his agent; so maybe we don’t get option year. This is a “bet on myself” contract. Great end of game outfield with him, Engel & Robert.
- Jose Quintana – One year/$6 million. Ability to trot him out with Eloy & Cease is something no Sox fan/Cub hater can pass on. He’s spot starter, swing guy, pitching swiss army knife (which he doesn’t get to play with based on his injury history).
- Kiki Hernandez – 2 years/$13 million. Swiss army knife – can back up a ton of positions, Fields well. Postseason experience/success. Knows how to pinch hit. Grew up in a great organization. Funny on social media. Protection against inevitable injuries to frontline players. Hit multiple home runs in game that knocked Cubs out of playoffs – that’s a good highlight to play when he bats in Crosstown games.
TRADES
- Cordero, Fry, Stiever, Gonzalez to Rockies for Kyle Freeland. Works if Rockies are rebuilding or trying to compete. They need bullpen help. Freeland has 2 years of control. We are actually giving a bit much based on Baseballtradevalues site. Freeland moves into #3 slot plus he beat the Cubs in Wildcard Game in 2018.
SUMMARY
Starting Pitchers
- Giolito
- Keuchel
- Freeland
- Gausman
- Cease
Swing guys
- Bummer/Kopech (both may start in minors to get some work)
- Q
- Lopez
Relievers
- Marshall
- Heuer
- Foster
- Crochet
- Burdi
Starters
- TA
- Moncada
- Jose
- Eloy
- Grandal
- Robert
- Vaughn
- Bradley, Jr
- Madrigal
Bench
- Hernandez – Super sub
- Engel – he’ll get some starts against LHPs
- Collins – LH pinch hitter as well. Real big question – has his receiving improved enough.
- Mendick
Payroll: $ 135,654,000.